Operation Wildfire Case Knives, Skins & Odds
Everything inside the Operation Wildfire Case: all 16 weapon skins, every knife in its rare pool, the odds, and how the case fits into the CS2 knife trade up.
The Operation Wildfire Case was released in 2016 and contains 16 weapon skins plus a rare pool of 13 knives.
Below: every skin by rarity, every knife in the rare pool, the odds, and what the case means for trade ups.
Try it for free: open the Operation Wildfire Case in the Operation Wildfire Case simulator with real odds, or check live prices for every knife in this case on CS2TradeUp.gg.
All Operation Wildfire Case skins
These are the weapon skins that can drop from the Operation Wildfire Case, from rarest to most common. Each can also drop as StatTrak.
Covert (2)
Classified (3)
Restricted (5)
Mil-Spec (6)
The Covert skins in this case are the inputs for its knife trade up: AK-47 | Fuel Injector, M4A4 | The Battlestar.
What knives are in the Operation Wildfire Case?
The Operation Wildfire Case's rare special pool contains this knife in original finishes:
Each knife comes in the original finishes: Vanilla, Fade, Case Hardened, Crimson Web, Slaughter, Blue Steel, Stained, Night (Night Stripe on newer knives), Urban Masked, Forest DDPAT, Scorched, Boreal Forest and Safari Mesh.
Bowie Knife (13)
Operation Wildfire Case odds
Valve has disclosed the same rarity odds for every standard weapon case. The Operation Wildfire Case follows them:
| Rarity | Chance per case | About 1 in |
|---|---|---|
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | 1.25 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 6 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 31 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 156 |
| Knife / gloves | 0.26% | 385 |
A knife is therefore roughly a 1-in-385 drop, and each case also needs a key. On average that makes unboxing one of the most expensive ways to get a knife. See CS2 case odds explained.
Operation Wildfire Case and knife trade ups
Since the October 2025 update, five Covert skins can be traded up into a knife or pair of gloves. The result is drawn from the rare pool of the case your Covert inputs come from. So five Covert skins from the Operation Wildfire Case can only give knives from the list above.
That makes the pool's average value the number that matters: a trade up aimed at the best knife in this case can just as easily land on the cheapest one. Mixing Covert skins from different cases splits your odds between their pools.
Price it before you sign. The knife trade up calculator lists every possible result from this case's pool with odds, predicted float and expected value at live prices.
More: how the knife trade up works and how the output float is calculated.
Is the Operation Wildfire Case worth opening?
Opening any case is a paid random draw: most openings return a Mil-Spec worth far less than the case plus key. If you want a specific knife from this pool, buying it outright is almost always cheaper. If you want any knife from the pool, compare the price of five Covert skins from this case against the pool's average value in the calculator.
Browse every case: all CS2 cases and their knives.
Frequently asked questions
What knives are in the Operation Wildfire Case?
The Operation Wildfire Case contains Bowie Knife in original finishes.
What are the Operation Wildfire Case odds?
Knives or gloves drop about 0.26% of the time (roughly 1 in 385), Covert 0.64%, Classified 3.2%, Restricted 16% and Mil-Spec 80%.
Can I trade up Operation Wildfire Case Covert skins into a knife?
Yes. Five Covert skins from the Operation Wildfire Case give one item from its rare pool: the knives listed above. Mixing cases splits the odds between pools.